Background

This analysis is based on an older version of our inference model which is accurate but more difficult to read

Question

Did Steve Harvey miss the end of a Miss Universe rehearsal?

08 Feb, 2016

This topic is part of a broader analysis on Was the Miss Universe 2015 mistake intentional?

Scenarios

Calculated Conclusions

Conclusions

1

Did not miss rehearsal:

Steve Harvey did not miss the ending of a Miss Universe rehearsal.

2

Missed rehearsal:

Steve Harvey missed the ending of a Miss Universe rehearsal.

Implied plausibility

Likelihoods based only on other elements of the analysis, not considering evidence of this sub-topic.

Did not miss rehearsal

85%

Missed rehearsal

15%

Compatibility with evidence

Likelihoods based only on evidence of this sub-topic, assuming all hypotheses equally plausible.

Did not miss rehearsal

75%

Missed rehearsal

25%

Conclusion

Final likelihoods, combining plausibility and evidence.

Did not miss rehearsal

75%

Missed rehearsal

25%

Analysis

Evidence (2 items)

Miss Universe 2015 Pia Alonzo Wurtzbach said that Steve was at all of the Miss Universe rehearsals including the ending (this information was volunteered without being asked).

Sources: Miss Universe Pia Alonzo Wurtzbach

Did not miss rehearsal

75%

Missed rehearsal

25%

Did not miss rehearsal

75%

Missed rehearsal

25%

An unnamed source said that Steve missed at least the last hour of rehearsal (and did not practice the ending).

Sources: Entertainment Tonight

Did not miss rehearsal

15%

Missed rehearsal

85%

Did not miss rehearsal

15%

Missed rehearsal

85%

Discussion

This topic is part of a broader analysis. To view the discussion page of the main analysis, click below:

Was the Miss Universe 2015 mistake intentional?

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