This analysis is based on an older version of our inference model which is accurate but more difficult to read
Question
Was Kyle Kennedy the prison lover of Aaron Hernandez?
17 May, 2017Scenarios
Calculated Conclusions
Conclusions
1
67%
No, Kennedy and Hernandez were not lovers.
67%
2
33%
Yes, Kennedy and Hernandez were lovers.
33%
Implied plausibility
No
90%
Yes
10%
Compatibility with evidence
No
67%
Yes
33%
Conclusion
No
67%
Yes
33%
Analysis
Evidence (9 items)
Hernandez had told his fiancee that he was not gay or bisexual.
Sources: CBS Crimesider
No
58%
Yes
42%
No
58%
Yes
42%
Hernandez described Kennedy as a "brother."
Sources: Lawrence Army Jr., Kyle Kennedy's lawyer
No
48%
Yes
52%
No
48%
Yes
52%
Hernandez and Kennedy requested to be cellmates.
Sources: Lawrence Army Jr., Kyle Kennedy's lawyer
No
47%
Yes
53%
No
47%
Yes
53%
Hernandez corresponded with Kennedy's family.
Sources: Lawrence Army Jr., Kyle Kennedy's lawyer
No
46%
Yes
54%
No
46%
Yes
54%
Kennedy believed that Hernandez would address a suicide note to him.
Sources: Lawrence Army Jr., Kyle Kennedy's lawyer
No
44%
Yes
56%
No
44%
Yes
56%
Kennedy's lawyer said that Kennedy would address the issue of Kennedy's relationship with Hernandez at a later time.
Sources: CBS Crimesider
No
44%
Yes
56%
No
44%
Yes
56%
Following the death of Hernandez, Kennedy was put on suicide watch.
Sources: Daily Mail
No
46%
Yes
54%
No
46%
Yes
54%
Hernandez wanted to give Kennedy a watch worth nearly $50,000.
Sources: Lawrence Army Jr., Kyle Kennedy's lawyer
No
45%
Yes
55%
No
45%
Yes
55%
Hernandez had a long-time male lover before he was imprisoned.
Sources: Newsweek
No
34%
Yes
66%
No
34%
Yes
66%
Discussion
Did former New England Patriots tight end Aaron Hernandez commit suicide?