This analysis is based on an older version of our inference model which is accurate but more difficult to read
Question
Is Donald Trump genetically inclined towards baldness?
24 Nov, 2015This topic is part of a broader analysis on What is the story behind Donald Trump's hair?
Scenarios
Calculated Conclusions
Conclusions
1
99.5%
Donald Trump is genetically inclined towards baldness.
99.5%
2
0.5%
Donald Trump is not genetically inclined towards baldness.
0.5%
Implied plausibility
Likelihoods based only on other elements of the analysis, not considering evidence of this sub-topic.
Genetically inclined
98.9%
Not genetically inclined
1.1%
Compatibility with evidence
Likelihoods based only on evidence of this sub-topic, assuming all hypotheses equally plausible.
Genetically inclined
99.5%
Not genetically inclined
0.5%
Conclusion
Final likelihoods, combining plausibility and evidence.
Genetically inclined
99.5%
Not genetically inclined
0.5%
Analysis
Evidence (2 items)
Fred Trump (Donald's father) was balding.
Genetically inclined
61%
Not genetically inclined
39%
Genetically inclined
61%
Not genetically inclined
39%
Robert Trump (Donald's brother) is balding.
Genetically inclined
60%
Not genetically inclined
40%
Genetically inclined
60%
Not genetically inclined
40%
Discussion
What is the story behind Donald Trump's hair?
Fred Trump (Donald's father) was balding.
Fred Trump (Donald's father) was balding.